Oklahoma City (44 - 21) | Expert Pick 33% ·······><············· 67% | Washington (40 - 24) |
To of the League Collides
The Thunder: The Thunder have been amazing this year. The Anthony Edwards
leap was real and they made a big play by massively overpaying to bring in DeAndre
Ayton, but it worked. The team has been firing on all cylinders and has blown
the rest of the West out of the water to lead the conference by 6 games. This
is also with Ayton now having gone down with injury and leaving DeAndre Jordan
to run the big man show alone. Edwards and Young’s pairing has been fire and
they have role players around the big 3 in Jordan, Caruso, Grimes and Clarke
who all play their role perfectly to help out the lack of defence that the big
3 bring. The offence though, is elite and they are all over the rebounds which
has been their bread and butter. Until Ayton went down, they were also their
usual healthy self, after being the healthiest team in the league last year.
All of this equates to a big strong season record which is looking like a sure
fire top seed in the West, and maybe, just maybe, bringing them a title by the
end of the season. The Wizards whom they play today, are going to be one of the
contenders in the East vying to be the team to meet them in that Championship
series, so this match up is super interesting! The Wizards: The Wizards began the season in completely blistering form but
have since gone a little quieter to be 4th in the East. That said,
they have the 5th best record in the league with only the Thunder in
the West with a better record, so if they were in the West they would be #2! So
that puts their “quiet” into perspective. They have had a couple of key outs
and a bit of a coaching test run at times which has seen them drop some games
you might have expected them to win, and the bench has been mostly average at
best since they were a 2nd apron team with few opportunities to sign
people to help them. But, they have one of the most elite and most
complimentary big 3 of any team in the land and then they have a rim protecting
anchor man to fit with that, and that’s a winning recipe. The time is now in
Washington with Lebron running around on those last 40+ year old legs, so
expect the Wiz to try and get some right now help to allow them to bat a little
deeper and go back at that top of the East title and maybe meet their opponent today,
in the final weeks of the season. The Projected Match-Ups: C: DeAndre Ayton Vs Clint Capela
Ayton has been the perfect big man for the Thunder this
year, despite not really doing much more than what just one of the pieces that
was traded to bring him in, would do. 13 points, 14 rebounds, 1.3 steals and
1.9 blocks is all you can ask of your big man and he’s using his size to anchor
the middle for the Thunder as their high power offence works around him. He’s
got the match up with the similar type role player here in Capela who has
averaged 10 points, 14 rebounds, 1.4 steals and 1.9 blocks on the year shooting
71% on his limited attempts. He knows his role is to anchor and fill space on
defence, and that’s what he does for this Wizards team. Whoever might impact
the rebounds more, might be the one that helps win the game. PF: Brandon Clarke Vs Lebron James Clarke has started all his games for OKC and played his
defensive menace role, closing ground and forcing contested shots very well for
them. He doesn’t show up much on the boxscore at only 7 pouts and 5 rebounds
with a steal, but his energy and “right play” team first approach, is what gets
him minutes. He’s got a big one in this game though, matching up on the monster
that is Lebron James, and frankly it won’t be a matter of stopping him, but
maybe making him miss just a couple of extra shots on his way to 40+ points…which
is his average! SF: Anthony Edwards Vs Taurean
Prince Edwards is the main man in OKC now
and 35 points game will do that to you! He’ll
probably get his direct match up in Prince defending him, unless Lebron moves down
to take him, and despite being only 6’4, he’s still a strong play at the 3.
Prince is new in town for Washington so we haven’t seen him perform in this
exact role, but in SA he didn’t do a vast amount but space the floor and play
some average defence. If he indeed has Edwards in this one, he’s going to
struggle mightily. SG: Alex Caruso Vs Devin
Booker Caruso is the stopper in OKC and he’ll go to Booker you’d
imagine cause he can match him for size and loves playing defence on the perimeter.
He’s only averaging 8 points, 3 rebounds and 3 assists himself, with 1.2
steals, but his role is clamp on other guys top guys, and that’s what he’ll do
here. Booker on the other hand will ignore all defensive work and try to be the
main man whenever Lebron allows him to be. He can light up a team and carry
that offensive load, but if he has Caruso matched up on him, it might go more
through Lebron in this game, despite Book still getting a chunk of his. PG: Trae Young Vs
Vince Williams Jr. Trae is pouring in
29 points a game this year still despite the rise of Edwards and he’s also
giving out 6.5 assists, so he has a lot of hands in the pie. He won’t bother
anyone on the other end, and sometimes struggles with height on him, which
makes Vince Williams a solid big body to play on him, but will it be enough?
Williams himself has only suited up for 4 games this year, all off the bench,
and is thrust into a larger role this week with Payne gone and Holiday out. He
won’t be expected to handle the ball much though with the big names playing and
he can just play his defensive role on Trae. Bench V Bench: Quentin Grimes, Drew Eubanks, Taj
Gibson, Jaden Hardy, Amir Coffey Both benches have their strengths and weaknesses, but the 5
man tends to work nicer overall, so I’d give the edge to the Thunder. They won’t
ask 2k to think with this line up and their stars will get all the right court
time, while the Wizards might encounter issues if they get foul trouble or in game
injuries. |
|
|
|
|
X-Factor |
---|
-
The XFactor is simple in this one. Both teams
average about the same rebounds, assists, steals and blocks. They shoot about
the same from the field and deep, and the line, but the Wizards average more
FTs and more points per game. The one knock on this Thunder team is that they aren’t
the most amazing defensive squad with only their role players really influencing
that end of the court, while the Wiz have guys all over who play both ends. The
XFactor then? Who’s high octane Offence stands up to the pressure. |
Injury Report | |
---|---|
Injured Players: Jrue Holiday (Knee/Shoulder/Rest) - 12 NBA Games missed this season Returning Players: Daniel Theis (returning from Neck/Thumb) - 5 NBA Games missed this season | Team is healthy this week Returning Players: Deandre Ayton (returning from Finger/Illness/Calf/Back/Knee/Leg) - 19 NBA Games missed this season |
Prediction |
---|
Head to Head Prediction: All offence all the time. I like the rounded line up of the
Thunder with Ayton back, while Holiday is missing for the Wizards, but the
Wizards still have the equal big 3 but lesser roles players alongside. I might
just give this to the size though, which means, Wizards. Wizards by 3. |
Comments (1) | |||
Joshua 03/03 04:58 am | Thanks for the write up! Hopefully your prediction is correct but this is one tough thunder squad. Can’t wait for this one! |