New Orleans (23 - 11) | Expert Pick 100% ····················>< 0% | Cleveland (27 - 7) |
Contender and Pretender?
Not so fast! These two teams are set to collide in a matchup that should
be much closer than the records would indicate.
The Pelicans finished week one with a solid record of 3-1, only falling
to contender hopeful in the Minnesota Timberwolves. GM Shams and the Cavs got off to a tough 0-4
start, with some bad luck affecting them in multiple games. The Cavs are a much better team than their
record would indicate, losing the 4 games by a combined 26 points, including 1 15-point
loss to the Utah Jazz, another title contender.
Both teams will be hard pressed to come out of this one with a win. New Orleans Lineup: Julius Randle Rudy Gobert Cleveland Lineup: DeAaron Fox Matchups: Luka Doncic vs DeAaron Fox Quite the star studded matchup at the PG position for the 2
teams, matchup up two of the NSL’s penultimate stars from a season ago. Luka Doncic has found his footing in year #2
in New Orleans, and he continues to lead the team to relevancy. Just a year removed from a competitive
playoff showing, Luka will look to take his game to another level to continue
where they left off. Fox has been good
this season, averaging over 25 points per game, but it is an obvious notch down
from his 2023-24 NSL play where he was a MVP finalist come seasons end. The Cavs will hope to recapture some of the
magic that made Fox one of the leagues best just a short season ago. Edge- Luka Doncic Bennedict Mathurin vs Nickeil Alexander-Walker After being a young journeyman throughout the initial phase
of his NSL career, Nickeil Alexander Walker has found a loving home in New Orleans. The team seems to value the role playing
combo-guard above the rest. He hasn’t
been great, but also not bad, in providing a lot of what New Orleans need
alongside scoring threats in Doncic and Randle.
Mathurin had a great NSL preseason, and has been going well early on in
the NBA this season, but he has been a bit of a let down through 1 week for the
Cavs. Mathurin is scoring only 8.5 points
per game, shooting 41% from the field, and only 27% from 3. Surely the Cavs are wanting more from the
score first guard who made his Cleveland debut just last week. Edge- Mathurin Malik Beasley vs Garrison Matthews Anybody ever seen the film “American Sniper”, or perhaps, “Enemy
at the Gates”. Well, you can give those
a watch to get the gist of this matchup.
Both guys are flamethrowers, constantly looking for the smallest of
windows to hoist up their shots. Garrison
Matthews received only mop-up minutes in week 1, so there’s no play to go
off-of, however, I certainly expect him to notch a triple or two in this game
and be a positive contribution to the spacing that Luka craves. Beasley on the other hand was one of the few
brights spots for the Cavs in a dismal week one. Beasley finished week 1 averaging 17.3 points,
on 42% shooting from deep, on 9.5 attempts per game. Those numbers are infinitely higher than
anything Beasley has contributed to this point in his NSL career, and if he can
keep those numbers up, he'll be one of the more impactful free agent signings
from the 2024 period. Edge- Beasley Tristan De Silva vs Juluis Randle This is likely the most lopsided matchup in the game, and
the matchup in which Leeroy hopes can give his team the competitive advantage. Randle is averaging almost 20 points per game
through 1 week, while also providing 1.3 steals per game. He’s got a rock solid +/- of 9.8. He’s been just what New Orleans was expecting
when they made the deal for him. Da Silva
is a much more unproven product in the NSL.
He’s received some early minutes in the NBA with the Magic, and done a
lot with the opportunity given, but the expectation is that his NSL counterpart
won’t be much of a difference maker barring major change. Edge- Randle Andre Drummond vs Rudy Gobert The battle of the big man, and this one is a throwback for
the ages. It seems like these two
players were best situation for professional basketball in the 90’s, or perhaps
even before. Both guys pull down a ton
of rebounds, exactly what their team is expecting from them, and both guys
contribute defensively. Gobert is
currently averaging over 2 blocks and 2 steals per game, making for one of the NSL’s
penultimate defensive forces, while Drummond is averaging a respectable 1 steal,
and 1.5 blocks per game. Drummond
scoring is a bit down from season’s past, averaging just around 6 points per
contest. The number’s don’t mean much in
this one though, as both guys are unlikely to see an NSL caliber big on the level
of their foe very often in the NSL. Edge- Gobert Bench:
Both teams have very impactful NSL players coming off their
benches. For Cleveland Anfernee Simons
and Onyeka Okongwu should both come in a make an impact away from the starting
unit. Simons can fill it up with the
best of them in the NSL, and Okongwu can do a bit of everything as a big man
who anchored one of the leagues best teams just a year ago in OKC. For New Orleans, the bench is run by 6th
man extraordinaire, Russell Westbrook, who can do it all on the NSL
hardwood. Torrey Craig, Tre Mann, and
Mason Plumlee all bring plus skillsets as well in specific area’s like defense,
scoring/playmaking, and rebounding that can help the Pelican’s win. My edge goes to the Cavs on the benches, but
it’s a narrow one. |
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X-Factor |
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I think the X-Factor in this game will be Juluis Randle, and
how the Cavs manage defending him. Luka
Doncic is going to get his points surely, but can the Cavs limit Randle
opportunities to score in this one, especially with Scottie Barnes missing the
contest. Surely, the Cavs would love to
have their do-it all, premiere defender to take the assignment in this one, but
without Barnes out there, the task will fall to Da Silva, Drummond, and the
bench, which is a tall ask. |
Injury Report | |
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Injured Players: DeAndre Hunter (Knee/Personal) - 10 NBA Games missed this season Scottie Barnes (Eye) - 11 NBA Games missed this season Herbert Jones (Shoulder) - 10 NBA Games missed this season | Injured Players: Aaron Gordon (Calf) - 6 NBA Games missed this season Grayson Allen (Achilles/Hamstring) - 4 NBA Games missed this season |
Prediction |
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Had Barnes been available in this one, perhaps the outcome would be different, but with him out, I give the edge to the Pelicans. Even if the Cavs manage to limit the damage done by Barnes, I still give Luka the edge in the matchup vs Fox, and Luka alone could be enough to see the Pelicans notch the W here. |