Dallas (7 - 20) | Expert Pick 0% >< 0% | Sacramento (12 - 18) |
Not All Fights are up the top!
The Mavs: The Mavs currently sit 2nd last in the West and
their only saving grace their pride is the fact that Golden State despite the
new GM and the new outlook, hasn’t clicked and can’t buy a win, otherwise, they’d
be squarely down the bottom. Their current record sees them in the bottom 4 of
the whole league and things don’t project to ease in the near future. They
surprised everyone by winning a few games last week with the return of Mark
Williams to the line up but struggling with a lack of talent on the roster and
then missing games from key guys like Williams, D’Angelo Russell and Miles
McBride, and it’s easy to see why the team that needs everything to go right to
even consider competing for a playoff spot, simply isn’t there. Unfortunately,
they are now looking a little too hard at going the other way about things,
with Mark Williams purposely benched this week after causing them to win games
last week, and it remains to be seen how Devin Vassell fits into the mix next
week since he was conveniently left out of the rotation this week, also. They’ve
started to make some moves, getting a first by trading Camcan Johnbinson for
Duncan Robinson and a 1st, which is just good business, and they’re
looking at options for Obi Toppin and probably Russell now too. Can the Mavs
get some more wins? Do they even want to? Sanctions might ensue if they make
their true intentions too obvious, but for now we hope they look to push the
right way. The Kings: The Kings are here again looking to fight for a play in spot
because they don’t have any of their own picks until 2028, but really still
showing no clear direction in terms of a rebuild or a true playoff push, and
hence end up in this no mans land hoping for a play in spot which probably won’t
project much even if it lands. They manage to squeeze the juice out of what
they have in the best way every year however and that is being done again with
Tyler Herro really pushing the chips in for them this year, but then they go an
make moves like trading Duncan Robinson and a 1st for Duncan
Robinson who can only play PF, and you definitely don’t want that type of
player playing PF in 2k. Which means, they still have few 1st in the
pocket and the team has talent and age issues right through it, with guys
trending towards negative asset territory like FVV, Grant Williams, Cam Johnson
and a borderline Bogdanovic who has only managed to play 2 weeks this season so
far. The return of Mitch Robinson will be a shot in the arm when it happens and
will allow them to bench Cam and try the all out run and gun, and you know
Klemm is always going to try and get himself as high up the standings as
possible which is in complete contrast to the opposition this week. Cam joins
Mitch, Bogdan and Grant Williams on the sidelines this week, which might
actually bode alright for them, and I would expect them to get a win over the
Mavs at the least this week. The Projected Match-Ups: C: Zach Collins Vs Charles Bassey Collins has been starting for the Mavs most of the year and
doing solidly at it averaging 10 points, 8 rebounds 1.2 steals and 1.7 blocks,
but it was most evident last week that they would be much better served with a
paint beast defensive C starting with the overall line up, which is why it was
changed this week. Collins gets a match up with one of those low end paint
beast athletic Cs that do so well in this league in Bassey whom has started
every game this year averaging 7 points, 13 rebounds, 2 assists 1.4 steals and
2 blocks anchoring that middle for the Kings who haven’t had a 2nd C
all year and keep calling up the fill in. I expect Bassey to impact this game
more and give the Kings the edge at C. PF: Miles Bridges Vs Kyle
Anderson Bridges has unfortunately missed time for the Mavs this year
but when healthy he has poured in 21 points a game as a starter and 24 a night
at this PF spot, which will help the Mavs who need that go to scorer. This line
though highlights why the bigger, defensive paint guy is a better fit next to a
Bridges PF type, though he’s going to get a favourable match up tonight against
Kyle Anderson. Anderson has started at PF for 4 weeks prior to this one and
only averaged 8 points, 4 rebounds and 4 assists, but you can get away with
having a poor rebounding PF next to a Bassey type somewhat. He won’t set the
world alight though and will be tasked with trying to slow Bridges mostly, which
might be an uphill battle. SF: Dalton Knecht Vs Gary
Trent Jnr. Knecht has started every game this
year, half at SF and half at SG, but he’s definitely been better at the SF spot
he’s lined up at this week. 12.5 points, 4 rebounds and 3 assists playing this
spot and better shooting overall. The SG experiment didn’t work all that well
and tonight he’ll be faced up with a guy who won’t bother him too much
defensively. Gary Trent started at SF last week for the first time this year
and it paid dividends where he dropped 21 a night on efficient shooting and so
he gets a nod there again this week, as Klemm tries to get that all out
firepower game going again. It’s a good 2k strategy and Trent is a good 2k
scorer who should best the rookie. SG: Duncan Robinson Vs Christian
Braun Duncan came to Dallas from Sac and immediately assumed the
starting SG spot after only playing reserve SF in Sactown, and he’s been solid
in the role spacing the floor averaging 13 points, 3 rebounds, 3 assists on
53/48/89 splits. He thrived last week, too. This week he gets Braun who is one
of the top up and coming young SGs in the league by ratings and NBA, but he’s
not their yet in 2k due to the year or 2 lag in tendency updates. He’s been the
SF most the year, but in his SG starts he’s averaged only 6 points, 3 rebounds
and 3 assists (slightly down from SF numbers) and it’s just a matter of not
having the presence to demand the ball and shots yet. For that reason, Ducan
should be more impactful in this game. PG: Malaki
Branham Vs Tyler Herro With Russell out
this week, the starting PG spot falls to Branham who has been the reserve SG
role all year prior. In his reserve role he averaged 5 points, 2 rebounds and
1.5 assists despite brilliant efficiency so the bar is set pretty low on his
starting PG showing this week. And he of course comes up against one of the
bust out guys of the year in Tyler Herro. Herro has started at SG for all but
last week this year and averaged 31 a game in that role, but he took over as
starting PG with FVV moving to the bench due to his lack of production. It
resulted in 26 points per game, so maybe not the ideal role, but still a scoring feast for Herro who
won’t have any problem beating up on Branham and the Mavs. Bench V Bench: Mark Williams, Obi Toppin, Brice
Sensabaugh, Leonard Miller, Mac McClung The Mavs bench has some strong talent down low in Williams
and Toppin, who really shouldn’t be there, but the depth ends after that with
the injuries they’re currently facing. The Kings are running a 4 man with
similar lack of depth past Fred VanVleet, including the fill in C and rookie
George. The Mavs bench is still the stronger one. |
|
|
|
|
X-Factor |
---|
-
One of the biggest factors in this game I feel
is going to be the rebound battle. The Kings are notoriously poor on the boards
and it’s probably just about THE reason why they aren’t doing better when they
have the offensive threats they have. After Bassey they have no one working in
this space opting for PFs who hate this endeavour and so maybe, just maybe, the
Mavs strength on the boards might help them make a play for this game. That
said, the main advantage they had in this space is now sitting on their bench. |
Injury Report | |
---|---|
Injured Players: Bogdan Bogdanovic (Hamstring/Quad/Leg/Injury Management) - 21 NBA Games missed this season Mitchell Robinson (Ankle) - 38 NBA Games missed this season Grant Williams (Knee Acl) - 19 NBA Games missed this season Cameron Johnson (Ankle) - 4 NBA Games missed this season Returning Players: Kyshawn George (returning from Ankle) - 5 NBA Games missed this season | Injured Players: DAngelo Russell (Illness/Thumb/Shin) - 4 NBA Games missed this season Kyle Kuzma (Groin/Ribs) - 17 NBA Games missed this season Naji Marshall (Illness) - 12 NBA Games missed this season Miles McBride (Knee/Hamstring) - 9 NBA Games missed this season Jalen Hood-Schifino (Illness/Groin/Hamstring) - 22 NBA Games missed this season |
Prediction |
---|
Head to Head Prediction: In the end, only one team actually wants to win this game
and they should do so comfortably. They have the right formula and strategy,
with only the overall talent of that formula holding them back, but Klemm will
always go for gold. This shouldn’t be close. Kings by 18. |